Recorded: April 19, 2012
We just wrapped up the best first quarter since 1998, volatility has dropped to almost boring levels, fundamentals are relentlessly marching forward and global risks appear to have returned to a more normal state.
Recorded: February 08, 2012
The primary driver of January's consistently positive returns was a dramatic reduction in global risks, which in conjunction with continued positive fundamentals suggests a higher and less volatile market for the rest of 2012.
Recorded: January 13, 2012
2011 will be marked as a year where global risks battled daily with market fundamentals—with volatility as the result. While global risks are by no means gone, the market’s path ultimately comes down to the strength of the underlying fundamentals.
Recorded: December 07, 2011
It should not have been a surprise to the markets, but it was. Black Friday—the first holiday shopping day after Thanksgiving—was a blockbuster, and its online analog Cyber Monday extended the trend.
Recorded: November 11, 2011
Third quarter 2011 was reminiscent of the worst of the 2008 credit crisis in that it reintroduced the possibility of a total collapse of the global financial system. The seeds of this potential catastrophe were sown by the first-ever credit down-grade of the U.S. and ongoing concerns that the European financial system was on the brink of failure.
Recorded: October , 2011
September’s headlines were indeed ominous, ranging from near-certain Greek default to rumors of a bank run in Europe to credit downgrades of sovereign banks and major financial institutions. Ultimately, successful investing demands a choice between prudent risk control and outright risk avoidance.
Recorded: September , 2011
As the events of August proved, risk cannot be truly forecast; as such, it is mandatory that investors be prepared for the unexpected.
Recorded: July 07, 2011
We are only midway through 2011 and the market already has experienced not one, not two, but three bear market tests.
Recorded: June 06, 2011
Sell in May and walk away? Not when fundamentals are still strong and we remain in a synchronized global expansion.
Recorded: May 06, 2011
While real estate may be all about location, location, location, in the equity markets, it’s earnings, earnings, earnings.
Recorded: April 06, 2011
Markets were pummeled during the first two weeks of the month, losing almost 5% through March 16 and at one point falling into the red for the year. But that was only the first half; in an epic comeback, March not only won the game but won the championship with the best first quarter performance since 1998.
Recorded: March 04, 2011
Surging oil prices, Middle East turmoil, domestic budget protests and debt woes confronted the markets in February yet the market quietly shrugged off all these obstacles and marched forward.
Recorded: February 07, 2011
Driven by record corporate earnings growth, accelerating manufacturing activity and renewed personal consumption, the positive momentum of U.S. and global economic growth continues unabated.
Recorded: January , 2011
We expect 2011 to be a banner year for U.S. economic activity, driven by a resurgent consumer, accelerated business spending and continued demand from emerging markets, along with a favorable and more-certain tax environment for businesses and consumers.
Recorded: December , 2010
There was much to be thankful for in November on the economic front. The U.S. economy showed signs of acceleration, as the consumer staged an impressive comeback and corporate profits continued to outpace Wall Street expectations.
Recorded: November , 2010
Driven by strong corporate earnings and expanding global demand, the turn in the market was swift and dramatic and left many investors who missed their chance at the rally hoping for a pullback to create an attractive entry point... With or without a pullback, however, there is still a way to justify getting back into the market: diversification.
Recorded: October , 2010
Though they saved the global economy from depression, policymakers have struggled to promote growth and jobs during the recovery.
Recorded: September , 2010
Despite a difficult August for the markets, evidence is stacking up that the risk trade is coming back into vogue.
Recorded: August 13, 2010
Risk levels were low in the first quarter on strong evidence of an accelerating economy, leading to a rise in the stock market. The market “sawed” in the second quarter, as prices dropped in response to elevated risk related to a trifecta of concerns that included the euro crisis, the BP/Gulf of Mexico oil spill and signs of a slowing economy.